Showing posts with label and. Show all posts
Showing posts with label and. Show all posts

Saturday, November 29, 2014

3rd Symposium Small PV Applications Rural Electrification and Commercial Use

Next Symposium on Small PV applications will take place again in the beautiful Ulm (Germany), in June 2013. Straight after this conference, the Intersolar is being organized again in Munich, so it is an excellent combination for those interested in the latest developments of the PV industry but also in the state of the art of small applications for remote and rural areas.

The period for submission of abstracts is open now and will end on January 4, 2013.



This event is held every two years and in the latest edition covered topics as exciting as:

  • Success of Rural Electrification by Solar PV systems in Bangladesh
  • Field evaluation of PV rural electrification programs in South America
  • Rural electrification with Solar Home Systems in the Amazon Region
  • PV charging enhancement of SHS using Super-capacitors
  • Economic assessment and design optimisation of PV-battery systems in off-grid applications
  • And many others!

  • Main topics for next year conference are:
     
    1. Electricity supply for remote rural households away from the national grid (Solar Home Systems)
    2. Provision of electricity to public institutions such as schools, clinics, churches, mosques and temples, administration offices, water pumping systems or street lighting.
    3. Electricity for industrial use and income generating infrastructure (telecommunication equipment, grain milling, welding, food preservation, meteorological stations or remote sensing)
    4. New concepts for integrated “over-the-counter PV products” often called “pico-systems” (solar lanterns, solar radios, mobile phone chargers, etc.)
    5. Electricity supply for urban households as backup to increase reliability
    6. Components such as charge controllers and batteries or other alternatives for energy storage
    7. Policy, financial aspects and market development for off-grid PV (government programs, incentives, testing facilities, etc.)

    Categories:
    • Components, including energy storage
    • Systems
    • Costs
    • Maintenance, quality assurance
    • Capacity building, distribution channels, ownership
    • Financing
    • Market development
    • Looking forward to meeting you there!
       
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Thursday, November 27, 2014

Crude and Condensate Reached New Highs in Jan

Stuart at Early Warning has a post on global oil production, showing oil production has managed to reach a new high after a long plateau - Crude and Condensate Reached New Highs in Jan.
The EIA helpfully produces a breakdown of the global liquid fuel supply into components. This allows us to distinguish change in the supply of "oil" - narrowly defined as crude oil plus condensates (hydrocarbons which come out of the ground as liquid) - from changes in other things (natural gas "liquids", most of which are actually gases like ethane, propane, and butane, ethanol, and refinery volume changes.

The above graph shows these four substreams - the crude and condensate (C&C) is on the right scale and the others on the left scale. This approach is designed to make it easiest to compare changes. The interesting news is that crude+ condensate, which has been pretty much plateaued since late 2004, has now made new highs. So clearly "peak monthly oil" is not behind us.

At the same time, the data still seem to me to be consistent with the overall "peak oil moderate" worldview - that in 2005 we entered into a situation in which it became very difficult to raise oil production and that placed significant constraints on the global economy and made recessions more likely, but that the decline in global production will be slow and fears that this would lead to an abrupt collapse of the global economy were overblown (the "doomer" view).

At the moment, the plateau in C&C has a slight upward tilt and its not possible to say declines in global oil production have begun.

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GE Promoting Combined Natural Gas Wind and Solar Power Plant

While the “Gas Age" won’t last forever, gas fired power looks like being used as a way of kick-starting the transition to 100% renewable energy, with hybrid plants like this one being proposed by GE enabling solar thermal, wind and gas fired power generation to share generation and transmission infrastructure. Technology Review says - “The hybrid plant could be the cheapest and easiest way to add renewable energy to the grid" - GE Combines Natural Gas, Wind, and Solar. Alstom are moving in a similar direction, but not as fast - Building bridges.
GE has announced the first power plant to integrate wind and solar power with natural gas—a 530-megawatt plant that will start operating in Turkey in 2015. The power plant is made practical by a flexible, high-efficiency natural-gas system the company announced two weeks ago and a solar thermal power system created by eSolar, a Burbank, California-based startup that GE recently invested in.

Such hybrid plants may become the dominant type of new power plant in some parts of the world, GE says. The new technology is aimed at countries that use 50 hertz electricity (the United States uses 60 hertz). In particular, it could make it easier for China and the European Union to meet their renewable energy targets.

Adding solar power to natural gas plants isnt a new idea, but it hasnt been economical without government subsidies. GE says that because of its new turbines and related equipment, these hybrid plants can, for utilities with the right combination of sunlight and natural gas prices, be competitive even without government support.

While combining solar thermal power and natural-gas turbines is not new, adding wind power to such a system is, GE says. Pairing wind with the natural gas plant helps shave some of the cost of the wind power—the wind farm can share some of the natural gas plants control systems and its connection to the grid. The natural gas plant also smooths out variations from the wind turbines.

Solar thermal power involves the use of an array of mirrors to concentrate sunlight and the resulting heat to produce steam. That steam can be fed into the steam turbine at a natural gas combined cycle plant to boost its power output.

The solar concentrator array from eSolar helps lower costs in two ways—its modular concentrator system is easy to install and easy to modify for the needs of specific plants. It also produces higher temperature steam than some previous solar thermal systems, increasing power output. GE has also developed a natural gas power plant that is highly efficient, and whose power output can easily be adjusted to make up for variations in power output from solar power.

Connecting a solar thermal system to a natural gas power plant, and thus eliminating the need to buy a separate steam turbine and related equipment, can cut the cost of a solar thermal system by up to 50 percent, says Jon Van Scoter, CEO and president of eSolar. Paul Browning, vice president of thermal products at GE, calls it "the most cost-effective form of solar energy available today."
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Tuesday, November 25, 2014

How much does U S consume fossil fuels and renewables

United States is still the worlds largest energy consumer. Despite the growing popularity of renewable energy sources such as solar power, wind power and biofuels, fossil fuels are still the dominant energy sources in United States and satisfy most of the nations energy demand.

The recent data shows that fossil fuels currently account for 84% of nations energy demand. Oil still accounts for approximately 40% of nations energy demand, while coal is the major source of US electricity accounting for around 49% of total US generated electricity. The third member of fossil fuel triad, natural gas, currently supplies around 23% of US energy demand, with many energy experts expecting natural gas share to grow in years to come, especially after the ever-growing shale gas extraction.

These numbers clearly show that fossil fuels are still the most important energy sources in United States, and that renewable energy industry still has plenty work ahead in order to challenge the dominance of fossil fuels.

Hydropower and biomass are currently the most important renewable energy sources in United States, wind is also looking quite good, while solar energy sector is fast developing.

Hydropower currently satisfies around 7% and biomass around 4% of nations energy demand. In the period from 2000-2010 wind power was the fastest growing renewable energy source in United States, and nation has even set a goal of achieving 20% of electricity coming from wind by 2020. If U.S. really wants to achieve this goal it will have to put a lot more emphasis to offshore wind energy.

The much talked about solar power is more making headlines in media instead of actually having significant impact in nations energy use. Many Americans believe in solar power as the best possible renewable energy option but despite the huge popularity solar power currently satisfies less than one percent of nations energy demand. This is mostly because solar panels are still relatively expensive, and somewhat inefficient compared to efficiency of fossil fuels.

US is global leader in installed geothermal capacity but this doesnt mean much when it comes to energy use because geothermal energy currently meets less than 1% of nations energy needs, which is way too little given the geothermal potential of some US states such as California and Nevada.

Given the current situation it is logical to expect that fossil fuels will continue their dominance when it comes to nations energy use simply because renewable energy needs time to develop desired efficiency and costs. Without reaching competitiveness in terms of efficiency and costs renewable energy cannot seriously challenge fossil fuels, even with the strong federal and local support.

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Tuesday, November 18, 2014

SIRT1 and cancer

In the past weve had some discussion of the histone deacetylase (HDAC) enzyme SIRT1 and other related sirtuin proteins, especially with respect to their possible relationship with longevity. (See here, for example.)

Much of the focus has been on the HDAC properties of SIRT1 that can switch off various genes. But there have also been findings of more direct relations between SIRT1 and cancer. Some indicate that sirtuins, including SIRT1, may help suppress cancer in certain circumstances, while others suggest it may actually help promote cancer. Well have to save a general discussion of this relationship for later.

But now we have some research that shows how SIRT1 is directly involved, and has a beneficial effect, in an important pathway thats quite relevant to breast cancer.

The background is that the BRCA1 gene (short for breast-cancer-associated gene 1) is a tumor suppressor gene that, when mutated, may lose its ability to suppress tumors. Defective BRCA1 is sometimes inherited, which helps explain familial tendencies to breast cancer.

So what does BRCA1 normally do to suppress tumors? Well, apparently it maintains expression of SIRT1, which in turn inhibits the expression of another protein, called Survivin. The latter is an inhibitor of programmed cell death (apoptosis), and therefore, when it is active, helps protect cancer cells, which might otherwise be killed by the immune system, chemotherapy, or radiation.

In a nutshell: defective BRCA1 leads to insufficient SIRT1, which leads to an inadequate ability to kill cancer cells.

New Findings May Improve Treatment Of Inherited Breast Cancer (10/9//08)
About 8% of breast cancer cases are caused by mutations in tumor suppressor genes, such as breast cancer associated gene-1 (BRCA1). BRCA1 is the most frequently mutated tumor suppressor gene found in inherited breast cancers and BRCA1 mutation carriers have a 50-80% risk of developing breast cancer by age 70. "Although work with animal models of BRCA1 mutation has provided some insight into the many biological processes linked with BRCA1, very little is known about the downstream mediators of BRCA1 function in tumor suppression," says lead study author Dr. Chu-Xia Deng from the Genetics of Development and Diseases Branch at the National Institutes of Health.

Dr. Deng and colleagues were interested in investigating the relationship among BRCA1, SIRT1 and Survivin. SIRT1 is a protein and histone deacetylase involved in numerous critical cell processes including metabolism, DNA repair and programmed cell death, known as apoptosis. Although SIRT1 has been implicated in tumorigenesis, no concrete role in cancer initiation or progression has been identified. Survivin is an apoptosis inhibitor that is dramatically elevated in many types of tumors. Research has suggested that Survivin may serve to maintain the tumor and promote growth.

The researchers found that BRCA1 functioned as a tumor suppressor by maintaining SIRT1 expression, which in turn inhibited Survivin expression. When BRCA1 was not functioning properly, SIRT levels decreased and Survivin levels increased, allowing BRCA1-deficient cells to overcome apoptosis and undergo malignant transformation.

This leads one to ask whether there are other ways that SIRT1 activation could be maintained when BRCA1 is defective. Fans of resveratrol will observe that this is something that resveratrol can do. And so the researchers gave it a try:
They went on to show that the compound resveratrol strongly inhibited BRCA1-mutant tumor growth in cultured cells and animal models. ... In the current paper, resveratrol enhanced SIRT1 activity, this leading to reduced Survivin expression and subsequent apoptosis of BRCA1 deficient cancer cells.

Ironically, previous research had indicated circumstances in which SIRT1 might promote growth of other types of cancers. It might, for instance, inhibit expression of other tumor-suppressor genes.

Another news account goes into this a little more:

Gene thought to promote tumor growth has opposite role in a kind of breast cancer (10/9/08)
These results were surprising in light of previous reports showing that high levels of SIRT1 enhance growth of other types of tumors. It now appears that SIRT1 can enhance or inhibit tumor growth — it all depends on the context, says Deng. ...

The researchers also found that a red wine chemical called resveratrol, recently touted as a powerful antiaging compound, was effective in combating BRCA1-associated tumor formation specifically.

How resveratrol is able to do this is unclear. “The work in this case is that SIRT1 has an antitumor effect, and this paper provides mechanistic insights into that,” comments Pere Puigserver, a Harvard biologist who studies SIRT1. But the resveratrol data should be taken with caution, he notes. While this new research clearly shows the direct relationship between BRCA1 and SIRT1, the direct link between resveratrol and SIRT1 is more difficult to demonstrate.

Nonetheless, molecular details of BRCA1-related breast cancer are emerging, and this new data places SIRT1 squarely inside the complex web of molecules that impact tumor growth.

One of the main reasons that sirtuins are suspected of having cancer-promoting properties in some circumstances is that they may inhibit the highly important p53 tumor suppressor gene. (P53, when functioning properly, promotes cell apoptosis when DNA defects are detected during cell division.) In just one example of many, heres research from earlier this year that suggests a tumor-promoting property of sirtuins:

Switching on cancer killer gene (5/8/08)
Scottish scientists have discovered how to control a major anti-tumour gene that could lead to more effective chemotherapy. According to a report in the Cancer Cell Journal, research conducted by the Universities of St Andrews and Dundee may eventually lead to the development of new cancer drugs.

The gene, called p53 and known as "the guardian of the genome", is damaged or switched off in most cancers. But the resrchers found that they could reboot it using two new biological compounds called "tenovins".

In a laboratory study, the academics found that these compounds could kick-start p53 by turning off enzymes called sirtuins. Sirtuins act like genetic switches and keep p53 under control, ensuring that the cells stay alive.

Other news accounts of this research: here, here.

Tags: cancer, BRCA1, SIRT1, sirtuin, p53, resveratrol
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Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Renewable And Non Renewable Energy Resources

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Friday, October 24, 2014

Biofuels Production Has Unintended Consequences on Water Quality and Quantity in Mississippi

Science Daily has a look at the impact of biofuel production on water quality in the Mississippi river - Biofuels Production Has Unintended Consequences on Water Quality and Quantity in Mississippi.
More water is required to produce corn than to produce cotton in the Mississippi Delta requiring increased withdrawals of groundwater from the Mississippi River Valley alluvial (MRVA) aquifer for irrigation. This is contributing to already declining water levels in the aquifer. In addition, increased use of nitrogen fertilizer for corn in comparison to cotton could contribute to low dissolved oxygen conditions in the Gulf of Mexico.

These are some of the key findings from a study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to assess water quality and quantity in the Mississippi Delta, in relationship to biofuels production.

"Because corn uses 80 percent more water for irrigation than cotton, exchanging corn for cotton will decrease water-levels," according to Heather Welch, USGS Hydrologist and author of this USGS Report. Declining water levels in the MRVA aquifer are particularly significant in the Mississippi Delta, where the infiltration of rainfall to replenish the aquifer is low. "This is a low flat area. When it does rain, much of the precipitation is lost through evapotranspiration and to streamflow, so the rainwater never reaches the aquifer," explains Welch.

In 2006, the U.S. Department of Energy Biomass Program implemented the Biofuels Initiative. The initiative calls for the replacement of 30 percent of gasoline levels by ethanol by 2030 and the reduction of ethanol costs to prices competitive with gasoline by 2012. In the Mississippi Delta, implementation of this initiative resulted in a 47-percent decrease in the number of acres dedicated to producing cotton, which resulted in a corresponding 288-percent increase in corn acreage in the region from 2006 to 2007.
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Pros And Cons Of Renewable Energy Sources

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Wednesday, October 22, 2014

GLAST and gamma ray astronomy

According to the present schedule, the GLAST gamma-ray telescope mission will be launched next week, on June 5, around noon EDT. If youre reading this before then, you can expect to find quite a bit of news coverage around that date. Its actually kind of a big deal, and Ill summarize some of the reasons for that here.

To begin with, you can find background information on the mission from NASA here and here.

In addition, there have been some good summaries already in science-oriented publications:

  • Question and Answer with GLAST Scientists – good Q&A session available at the Sky and Telescope site
  • GLAST goes for blast-off – very good 5/1/08 feature article provided by Physics World
  • GLAST Mission Prepares to Explore the Extremes of Cosmic Violence – another very good article from the 5/23/08 issue of Science (sub. rqd.)

You can find good explanations of exactly what GLAST is in most of the above references.

What Ill summarize here are just some of the main objects and phenomena that GLAST is expected to help observe and study.

Gamma-ray bursts
Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) have been discussed here several times, such as here and here. It is generally agreed that there are several different events that can cause a GRB, and a fair amount is known about the phenomenon already. For instance, the subtype known as a "long" GRB is thought to result from supernova explosions in which a high-energy jet of particles and radiation is emitted in a narrow beam that happens to point in our direction. But as yet we havent measured the complete spectrum of energy from a GRB of any type. This spectrum can range from a few KeV to hundreds of GeV, and knowing it in detail would help determine the nature of the associated event much more accurately.

Dark matter
The visible universe that consists of luminous objects like stars and galaxies is composed of baryonic matter (mainly protons and helium nuclei). There may be at least as much baryonic matter in the form of diffuse gas that we cannot see. (Recent observations here and here.)

Yet it is essentially certain that the universe actually contains about four times as much matter that we cant detect at all (except by its gravitational effects) as all that baryonic matter put together. This is the dark matter. There are many theories about what this dark matter consists of, but in one of the main classes of theories, the matter consists of "weakly-interacting massive particles" (WIMPs). In most such theories, WIMPs can annihilate each other in pairs, giving off copious quantities of gamma-rays (among other things).

If some such theory accounts for a portion of the dark matter, GLAST will make it possible to estimate properties of WIMPs (e. g. their mass) by observing gamma-rays from locations where dark matter is expected to be concentrated, such as in the center of the Milky Way. This kind of information will complement and help corroborate observations made at the Large Hadron Collider, in which some kinds of WIMPs (if they exist at all) are expected to be created.

Solar gamma-rays
Although our Sun is a relatively weak source of gamma-rays compared to almost everything else mentioned here (even weaker than the Moon, where gamma-rays are produced when cosmic rays strike the surface), several solar events, such as flares and coronal mass ejections do produce gamma-rays. So GLAST will help us better understand solar events of this kind.

Supernova remnants
A large class of gamma-ray bursts are associated with the initial blast of a supernova event, and the gamma-rays from such bursts subside in a matter of minutes. But other gamma-rays may originate by other mechanisms from the supernova remnant long after the original event. Gamma-rays are thought to be produced in such remnants due to particles being accelerated to high energies in the blast and subsequently generating shock waves in the interstellar medium. The shock waves themselves are reasonably well understood, but how the particles are actually accelerated by the supernova blast needs much more elucidation, which GLAST can provide.

Pulsars
Another part of the remnant left over after a supernova is either a stellar-mass black hole, or else a rapidly spinning neutron star. Such a neutron star will produce jets of electromagnetic energy, usually at radio frequencies, and when the Earth is lined up with the jet the object is called a pulsar. These also emit gamma-rays. Since neutron stars are extremely small and dense, they have intense magnetic fields near their surface, and the fields reveal a lot about the nature of matter in the neutron star. The strong fields also convert gamma-rays into electron-positron pairs, so the overall gamma-ray spectrum can give us information about the objects magnetic fields, and about surface features that cause gamma-ray emission.

Supermassive black holes, active galactic nuclei, quasars, blazars
Supermassive black holes are thought to exist at the centers of most or all galaxies. We can estimate that they have masses ranging from 105 to 1010 solar masses, yet there is a great deal more we would like to know about them, such as the process by which they form. (See here.) Most supermassive black holes are thought to be circled by an accretion disk of matter which has been attracted by the objects extreme gravity.

Depending on the amount of matter in the disk, large amounts of energy may be released as the matter falls into the black hole. Our own Milky Way has a smallish object of this sort, with a correspondingly small accretion disk. But if there is much more mass in the disk, one has a bright object called an active galactic nucleus (AGN). AGNs were more plentiful in the early days of the universe, before most of the available nearby matter had been consumed by the black hole, and especially active objects of this kind, usually at great distances, are called quasars.

Like supernovae (from which stellar-mass black holes or neutron stars are formed), supermassive black holes may emit powerful relativistic jets of particles and energy. If such a jet is pointed in our direction, we see an especially bright source, called a blazar. Most of the emitted electromagnetic energy from all these objects is in the gamma-ray part of the spectrum.

So one of the main objectives of GLAST is to measure how this spectrum varies over time, in order to get a better understanding of what is actually going on. For instance, there could be additional confirmation of a model of the relativistic jets as described in this recent research, and perhaps evidence as to whether the particles in the jets are protons or electrons.

Cosmic ray origins
As discussed in detail here, we are finally beginning to clear away some of the mystery surrounding the most energetic ultra-high-energy cosmic rays (UHECRs). But theres a lot more wed like to know, such as whether these rays are mostly made up of relativistic protons, and what sort of process creates them in the first place. Gamma-rays are produced when UHECRs interact with interstellar gas and dust, so GLAST may be able to give us more information about UHECRs.

Primordial black holes
It is generally suspected that many small black holes (with masses covering a wide range, but much less than the mass of a star) could have been produced in the big bang. These are called primordial black holes. Their existence hasnt yet been confirmed. But Stephen Hawking made a strong case that any black hole will slowly emit weak electromagnetic radiation, due to quantum effects and called Hawking radiation. This radiation should be too weak to be directly observable. However, small primordial black holes should eventually evaporate completely by this process, and at the end disintegrate in a burst of gamma-rays. This is all rather conjectural, but if it happens, it may contribute to a continuous gamma-ray background that can be detected.

Cosmic gamma-ray background
In addition to discrete gamma-ray sources such as GRBs and supernova remnants, there is a diffuse background of gamma-ray photons, much like the cosmic microwave background (CMB), only vastly more energetic. Some of this background may be due to UHECRs, very distant and very powerful (TeV range) gamma-ray sources, or primordial black holes. But who knows what other kinds of sources might be out there? There will probably be some surprises, as well as a lot of useful information to be deduced, just as happened with the CMB.

Possible breakdowns of special relativity
Heading even further into speculative territory, various theorists of quantum gravity have proposed that even special relativity (as well as general relativity too) may break down under various conditions. For example, the speed of light might not be an exact constant, but might instead vary by a slight amount according to the energy carried by individual photons.

Thus not all gamma-ray photons from a GRB would need arrive at precisely the same time, and so any pattern in this radiation would be shifted very slightly depending on what part of the gamma-ray spectrum is observed. Even if the shift is as little as 1/1000 of a second (for photons that may have been travelling for billions of years), GLAST should be sensitive enough to detect the shift. That would certainly be quite a surprise if found.


Further reading:

GLAST Science Writers Guide – An extremely informative 47-page document (PDF), with detailed descriptions of the relevant science, a glossary, and additional links

Simona Murgia: Dark Matter searches with GLAST – Blog posting that discusses the relevance of GLAST for dark matter searches

Tags: GLAST, Gamma-ray Large Area Space Telescope, gamma-ray bursts, supermassive black holes, quasars, blazars, pulsars, primordial black holes
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Microgrid Deployment Forum 2013 Implementing Island and off grid solutions

Fig1: Transition path from off-grid to full grid connection (Source: http://www.energynautics.com/)
 
Homer Energy is organising the Microgrid Deployment Fórum 2013, a two-day event that will examine business cases, optimal technology mixes and critical steps for successfully deploying microgrid systems in remote, island, and off-grid environments.
 
The event will be held next November 8-9 in Cancun (Mexico) and for sure will be a fantastic opportunity to bring together project and technology developers, system owners and utilities, and other energy professionals from across the industry for in-depth information sharing and networking.
 
As already anticipated at this site (please visit the post "Micro-grids and Sustainable Energy Markets" for further details), the potentality of microgrid market is huge, especially within the off-grid sector, but also as a perfect vehicle for the transition from island systems to full grid interconnection (see Fig1 above)
 
Key drivers for the deployment of microgrids over the next years will be the attractive financial returns from reducing diesel fuel consumption when including Renewable Energy sources in the generation mix, but also the reduction of CO2 emissions and, not less important, achieving energy self-sufficiency.
 
Agenda:
 
Day 1 - Friday, November 8, 2013
Microgrid Business and Technology Issues: Designing and Achieving an Effective Deployment.
 
The first day  will consist of a series of panel sessions that systematically analyze the key steps and requirements for deploying hybrid energy microgrid systems.
 
Day 2 - Saturday, November 9, 2013
HOMER Training and User Group Meeting.
 
 
The second day will consist of an in-depth, hands-on training workshop focused on the use of HOMER Energy software for the design of such systems.
 
Topics of interest will include:
 
  • Microgrid Market Dynamics, Growth & Barriers
  • Recent Advances in Controls, Load Management, Power Engineering, & Storage
  • Conceptual Design and Pre-Feasibility Analysis
  • Non-Technical Factors: Local Stakeholder Issues, Permitting, Community Relations, and Cultural Considerations
  • Financing: Off-Taker Creditworthiness, Capital Structures, & Incentives
  • Microgrid Procurement, Construction, & Commissioning
  • Microgrid Operations, Maintenance, & Management Issues

For further details, please visit:

http://www.microgridconference.com/index.HTML
 
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Monday, October 20, 2014

Chart of Australian Oil Consumption and Production

Phil at TOD ANZ has a chart showing Australias widening oil import gap - Chart of Australian Oil Consumption and Production.
This graph of Australian oil consumption and production is based on the BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2011. I prepared it for a local government workshop later this week and thought Id post it here for others to use.

Australia is one of very few OECD countries where oil consumption is still rising in this high oil price environment, albeit slowly. You can thank the resource economy for that (and the related strength of the Australian dollar).

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Saturday, October 18, 2014

Inflammation microRNA and cancer

If theres just one single point worth making about the biology of cancer, it would have to be "its complicated".

Cells in general, and animal cells in particular, are extremely intricate Rube-Goldberg-like mechanisms. Their correct functioning depends on the integrity of 20,000 or so genes (in the case of humans), and at least 5 times as many proteins whose form is specified by the genes. Damage to even one of a few thousand important genes can put a cell on the road to becoming cancerous. So the first fact about cancer isnt really all that hard to understand: cancer (in all of its many forms) is a disease that begins with damage to the DNA of one or more genes.

This damage, which is necessary but not sufficient, can occur in many ways. Sometimes it happens because of the action of external agents, like carcinogenic chemicals or high-energy radiation (including ultraviolet light). Other times it happens simply because of occasional errors made in copying DNA during the process of cell division. These are just a few of many ways in which DNA can suffer damage. Its estimated that from 10,000 to a million DNA mutations can occur in a single human cell per day.

Fortunately, only a few percent of the 3 billion fundamental units (base pairs) of DNA actually occur within genes – everything else is "noncoding DNA". Although much of this noncoding DNA serves some useful purpose, we have little idea at present what that might be. However, its certainly less critical to cell function than the DNA of actual genes. Even so, 10,000 or so genes in every cell could suffer mutations every day.

Of course, complex multicellular life couldnt exist unless nature had evolved some means for coping with all this random genetic damage. And so, there are a large number of ways that cells have of detecting and repairing the damage that does occur. Then in the relatively small number of cases where damage cannot be repaired, cells have additional fail-safe mechanisms to avoid malfunctions which lead to unlimited proliferation – i. e. cancer. One such mechanism is for a cell to enter a state of "senescence", where it ceases to be able to divide at all. A more drastic, but common, mechanism is for the cell to undergo "apoptosis" – orderly cell death.

A necessary condition, therefore, for a cell to become cancerous, even after DNA damage remains unrepaired (perhaps because of damage to part of the repair mechanism), is that the damage occurs in a gene that codes for proteins needed for one of the various fail-safe mechanisms. Consequently, in almost every case of cancer where a tumor has begun to form, one finds problems in some part of the cells anti-proliferation machinery.

Well look at a recent piece of research that identifies one particular way this can happen, and its interesting for the variety of different cell processes that become involved.

Many of the known "causes" of cancer are fairly easy to understand. Certainly, the cancer risk from DNA-damaging carcinogenic chemicals is obvious enough. And once one understands how important a key protein known as p53 is in crucial cellular processes such as detection of unrepaired DNA damage and invocation of apoptosis if necessary, its not hard to understand why more than 50% of human tumors have mutated genes for p53.

But there are other factors which have been found, in epidemiological studies, to be statistically associated with cancer development. One of these is inflammation, which is a very normal part of the bodys immunological defenses against infection. Inflammation itself is a highly complex process – too complex to outline here. Chronic infections by various agents can cause a state of persistent inflammation. An example is the result of H. pylori bacterial infections. In addition to being responsible for stomach ulcers, such infections are also found in cases of stomach cancer. Obesity is also known as an epidemiological factor in various cancers, and the reason is now thought to be the state of chronic inflammation that obesity often causes.

What is not clear is exactly what mechanism connects inflammation with cancer. Theres undoubtedly a variety of mechanisms, given how complicated cellular processes turn out to be when you get down to the finer details. The recent research mentioned above illustrated one such mechanism, in one single type of cancer.

Anti-inflammatory drugs may defeat a treatment-resistant type of cancer (6/24/09)
The research focused on a type of non-Hodgkin lymphoma called diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. In some patients with the disease, chemotherapy works well. In a recent study of 40 patients more than 75 percent of patients with one form of this type of lymphoma survived five years or longer.

But that study also identified a group of patients whose cancer proved difficult to treat. Their tumors failed to respond to chemotherapy, and only 16 percent of patients with this form of lymphoma survived more than five years after they were diagnosed.

Several molecular flags mark this treatment-resistant lymphoma, but the links between them were unknown until now. The new paper reports that tumor cells isolated from these patients have depressed levels of a protein called SHIP1, which was known to suppress tumors. In fact, patients with the lowest levels of SHIP1 are the least likely to survive.

SHIP1 is a phosphatase enzyme. That means it removes phosphate groups from proteins. So a phosphatase has the opposite effect of enzymes known as kinases, which attach phosphate groups to proteins. Having a phosphate group attached at the right place on a protein is what enables the protein to take part in a signaling pathway, which is the basic communication mechanism in a cell responsible for making things happen. Therefore, phosphatases disrupt pathways, and stop things from happening. This can be beneficial, for example, if whats happening is the excessive cell division that occurs in cancer. Accordingly, SHIP1 has been found to be a tumor suppressing protein.

In the case of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), it is found that SHIP1 levels are abnormally low. Its not that the SHIP1 is defective; theres just not enough of it. So the question is why. Is there some other defective gene thats responsible?

Apparently, there is not. Instead, its the presence of inflammation thats responsible, and in an interesting way. Inflammation is a perfectly normal product of the bodys immune system, and it exists to counteract harmful agents such as bacteria. The immune system initiates and regulates the process of inflammation by means of signaling molecules called cytokines. One of the more common and important of these cytokines is TNFα.

Now, TNFα normally goes about its business without causing cancer or other lasting ill effects. In fact, under the right conditions it can induce apoptosis or inhibit tumor formation in other ways. But for some reason, in DLBCL, TNFα suppresses SHIP1, and thus promotes cancer. The research in question also discovered the mechanism of SHIP1 suppression. It turns out that the real culprit here is a small piece of microRNA called miR-155. This little bugger was already known to be involved with leukemia in mice, and with other cancers. (See references in here.)
The resistant type of lymphoma cells also have elevated levels of miR-155, a specific example of a type of genetic material called microRNA, the team found. They demonstrated that miR-155 suppresses SHIP1 by sticking to the template for the protein, preventing its manufacture. ...

The final clue came from earlier reports that an inflammatory molecule called TNFα could boost levels of miR-155. Additional laboratory work confirmed the observation for this type of lymphoma cell.

Some anti-inflammatory drugs, used for diseases such as arthritis and inflammatory bowel disease, where inflammation gets out of hand, work by suppressing TNFα. So it was hypothesized that such a drug might be beneficial in treating DLBCL. And voilà:
The anti-inflammatory drugs etanercept and infliximab, which are currently used to treat arthritis and inflammatory bowel disease, work by suppressing TNFα, suggesting a new way to curb the malignancy of this type of lymphoma.

The team tested the idea in mice that had been injected with aggressive lymphoma cells and found that nascent tumors shrank in six days.

However, mice are not humans, so the drugs need to be tested in human DLBCL patients. Patients are already being recruited for clinical studies.

Now, there are plenty of questions remaining. More needs to be understood about just what pathways SHIP1 disrupts in order to suppress tumors. This should also help in understanding why inflammation and the resulting TNFα do not, fortunately, cause cancer more often. Baby steps. But perhaps significant ones.

Heres the research abstract:

Onco-miR-155 targets SHIP1 to promote TNFα-dependent growth of B cell lymphomas
Non-coding microRNAs (miRs) are a vital component of post-transcriptional modulation of protein expression and, like coding mRNAs harbour oncogenic properties. However, the mechanisms governing miR expression and the identity of the affected transcripts remain poorly understood. Here we identify the inositol phosphatase SHIP1 as a bonafide target of the oncogenic miR-155. We demonstrate that in diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) elevated levels of miR-155, and consequent diminished SHIP1 expression are the result of autocrine stimulation by the pro-inflammatory cytokine tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFα). Anti-TNFα regimen such as eternacept or infliximab were sufficient to reduce miR-155 levels and restored SHIP1 expression in DLBCL cells with an accompanying reduction in cell proliferation. Furthermore, we observed a substantial decrease in tumour burden in DLBCL xenografts in response to eternacept. These findings strongly support the concept that cytokine-regulated miRs can function as a crucial link between inflammation and cancer, and illustrate the feasibility of anti-TNFα therapy as a novel and immediately accessible (co)treatment for DLBCL.




ResearchBlogging.org
Pedersen, I., Otero, D., Kao, E., Miletic, A., Hother, C., Ralfkiaer, E., Rickert, R., Gronbaek, K., & David, M. (2009). Onco-miR-155 targets SHIP1 to promote TNFα-dependent growth of B cell lymphomas EMBO Molecular Medicine, 1 (5), 288-295 DOI: 10.1002/emmm.200900028


Tags: cancer, inflammation
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Oil and water

Reuters has an article on Saudi Arabia’s water troubles and the increasing percentage of oil production going towards running desalination plants - Oil and water - Saudi Arabias Resource Puzzle
Water use in the desert kingdom is already almost double the per capita global average and increasing at an ever faster rate with the rapid expansion of Saudi Arabias population and industrial development.

Riyadh in 2008 abandoned what was in retrospect clearly a flawed plan to achieve self-sufficiency in wheat and aims to be 100 percent reliant on imports by 2016. "The decision to import is to preserve water," said Saudi Deputy Minister of Agriculture for Research and Development Abdullah al-Obaid. "Its not a matter of cost. The government buys wheat at prices higher than in the local market."


Agriculture is the single biggest user [of water], absorbing 85-90 percent of the kingdoms supplies, according to Saudis deputy minister of agriculture for research and development. Of that, almost 80-85 percent came from underground aquifers.

With average annual rainfall around 100 mm (4 inches), Saudis ancient underground aquifers are its lifeblood.

But just as peak oil theorists believe the worlds conventional oil supplies are at or near their peak, proponents of the peak water view have said the resource has been irreversibly drained.

Booz and Company has said some of the regions aquifers -- also referred to as "fossil water" as they contain rain that fell thousands of years ago -- have become too salty to drink.

Injecting water into oilfields has also had an impact, although sea water is now generally used to maintain reservoir pressure.

The alternative to desalination -- the energy-intensive process of converting salt water to fresh water -- robs Saudi Arabia of its other precious resource, oil, by eating up both fuel and fuel revenues.

Saudi Arabias Saline Water Conversion Corp (SWCC) produces 3.36 million cubic meters of desalinated water per day, a daily cost of 8.6 million riyals based on the SWCCs 2009 figures -- the latest available -- when the cost of producing one cubic meter of desalinated water was 2.57 riyals. Transporting it added an extra 1.12 riyals per cubic meter.

Analysts and industry leaders say the authorities need to pass on more of the costs to the end-user to curb demand and reduce waste -- an argument that holds true for power and fuel but which requires very careful handling in the case of water.

"It is necessary to raise water tariffs," Isao Takekoh, a director at the U.S.-based International Desalination Association, said. "But it should be conducted very carefully and step-by-step because water is, needless to say, indispensable for human life."

By burning up energy, desalination reduces the amount of crude available for lucrative export markets. Takekoh estimated energy represented between 45 and 55 percent of unit production costs.

The International Energy Agency and analysts at HSBC bank estimated Saudi Arabias rate of direct crude burning more than doubled from 2008 to 2010 because of a rapid rise in power demand and a shortage of natural gas. How much of that went to desalination is not known but experts believe it is significant.
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Friday, October 17, 2014

A Galaxy for Science and Research

A Galaxy for Science and Research
NGC 134 is a barred spiral with its spiral arms loosely wrapped around a bright, bar-shaped central region. The red features lounging along its spiral arms are glowing clouds of hot gas in which stars are forming, so-called HII regions. The galaxy also shows prominent dark lanes of dust across the disc, obscuring part of the galaxys starlight.




NGC 134 – Click for 1280×1024 image


More: here
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Sunday, October 12, 2014

An oil crash is on its way and we should be ready

New Scientist has a rather pessimistic article by Jeremy Leggett on peak oil and related topics - An oil crash is on its way and we should be ready.
FIVE years ago the world was in the grip of a financial crisis that is still reverberating around the globe. Much of the blame for that can be attributed to weaknesses in human psychology: we have a collective tendency to be blind to the kind of risks that can crash economies and imperil civilisations.

Today, our risk blindness is threatening an even bigger crisis. In my book The Energy of Nations, I argue that the energy industrys leaders are guilty of a risk blindness that, unless action is taken, will lead to a global crash – and not just because of the climate change they fuel.

Let me begin by explaining where I come from. I used to be a creature of the oil and gas industry. As a geologist on the faculty at Imperial College London, I was funded by BP, Shell and others, and worked on oil and gas in shale deposits, among other things. But I became worried about societys overdependency on fossil fuels, and acted on my concerns.

In 1989, I quit Imperial College to become a climate campaigner. A decade later I set up a solar energy business. In 2000 I co-founded a private equity fund investing in renewables.

In these capacities, I have watched captains of the energy and financial industries at work – frequently close to, often behind closed doors – as the financial crisis has played out and the oil price continued its inexorable rise. I have concluded that too many people across the top levels of business and government have found ways to close their eyes and ears to systemic risk-taking. Denial, I believe, has become institutionalised.

As a result of their complacency we face four great risks. The first and biggest is no surprise: climate change. We have way more unburned conventional fossil fuel than is needed to wreck the climate. Yet much of the energy industry is discovering and developing unconventional deposits – shale gas and tar sands, for example – to pile onto the fire, while simultaneously abandoning solar power just as it begins to look promising. It has been vaguely terrifying to watch how CEOs of the big energy companies square that circle.

Second, we risk creating a carbon bubble in the capital markets. If policymakers are to achieve their goal of limiting global warming to 2 °C, 60 to 80 per cent of proved reserves of fossil fuels will have to remain in the ground unburned. If so, the value of oil and gas companies would crash and a lot of people would lose a lot of money. ...

Third, we risk being surprised by the boom in shale gas production. That, too, may prove to be a bubble, maybe even a Ponzi scheme. Production from individual shale wells declines rapidly, and large amounts of capital have to be borrowed to drill replacements. This will surprise many people who make judgement calls based on the received wisdom that limits to shale drilling are few. But I am not alone in these concerns.

Even if the US shale gas drilling isnt a bubble, it remains unprofitable overall and environmental downsides are emerging seemingly by the week. According to the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality, whole towns in Texas are now running out of water, having sold their aquifers for fracking. I doubt that this is a boom that is going to appeal to the rest of the world; many others agree.

Fourth, we court disaster with assumptions about oil depletion. Most of us believe the industry mantra that there will be adequate flows of just-about-affordable oil for decades to come. I am in a minority who dont. Crude oil production peaked in 2005, and oil fields are depleting at more than 6 per cent per year, according to the International Energy Agency. The much-hyped 2 million barrels a day of new US production capacity from shale needs to be put in context: we live in a world that consumes 90 million barrels a day.

It is because of the sheer prevalence of risk blindness, overlain with the pervasiveness of oil dependency in modern economies, that I conclude system collapse is probably inevitable within a few years.

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Documents Leaked Shale Gas Industry E Mails and Reports

The New York Times has a follow up to their recent article on doubts about the financial sustainability of the shale gas rush, quoting their anonymous sources for the article - Documents: Leaked Industry E-Mails and Reports.
Over the past six months, The New York Times reviewed thousands of pages of documents related to shale gas, including hundreds of industry e-mails, internal agency documents and reports by analysts. A selection of these documents is included here; names and identifying information have been redacted to protect the confidentiality of sources, many of whom were not authorized by their employers to communicate with The Times.

Geologist and official from Anglo-European Energy:

After buying production for over 20 years, hopefully I know the characteristics of great wells (flat decline curves, low operating costs, large production), and as you know, the shale plays have none of these. The herd mentality into the shale will eventually end possibly like the sub-prime mortgage did. In the meantime it is very difficult to sell any kind of prospect that is not a shale play.


Analyst from PNC Wealth Management (2011):

Money is pouring in from investors even though shale gas is inherently unprofitable. Reminds you of dot-coms.


Analyst from IHS Drilling Data (2009):

The word in the world of independents is that the shale plays are just giant Ponzi schemes and the economics just do not work.


Retired geologist for major oil and gas company (2011):

As I think you would agree, we are looking at a bubble here with caveats. The caveats are how corporate hubris and bad science have caused a lot of folks to think that gas is nearly too cheap to meter. And now these corporate giants are having an Enron moment, they want to bend light to hide the truth. The bubble will burst, folks will get run over, reason will be restored, if only temporarily.


Official from Bold Minerals LLC (2010):

1. The players never did any careful regional studies before they made serious and irrevocable capital commitments to the various shale plays. Our scouting sources never got calls for logs or cores on the significant old tests, especially in the Haynesville. This was mystifying.

2. The pronouncement that the reservoir was uniform and covered 10 or 20 counties or (in the case of Marcellus) 5 states was absolute heresy in the conventional business. This very extravagant claim was never really debated or contested by the technical community. The downhole data for these broad sweeping conclusions was simply never there.

3. The escalation of lease bonuses to ridiculous heights and the taking of 3 year term leases put the companies in the position of being compelled to drill hundreds of potentially technically unsound wells with insufficient downhole information or face massive impairments by letting incredibly expensive acreage expire undrilled. In previous hot domestic plays, no major company would ever commit itself to lease positions of this scope and scale of expenditure that they could not afford to abandon if the technical picture became negative.

4. The ‘bait and switch’ where one massive set of capital outlays in the ‘best’ shale uncovered was soon to be eclipsed by the recognition of even better shales which required even more outlays before a thorough technical assessment of existing shale positions had been obtained could only be classified as a type of ‘mania’. It has no precedent in financial scale to any of the previous lease plays that experienced a speculative frenzy in domestic onshore petroleum history.


Official at Phoenix Canada Oil Company (2010):

It is my strong view that we will see a near collapse of that play, probably sooner rather than later. Perhaps we will see a repeat of the coal bed methane (CBM) play disappearance -- where that exciting development faded into history without a trace!


Official from Schlumberger (2010):

All about making money. Im working on a shale gas well that was just drilled in Europe. Looks like crap, but the operator will flip it based on ‘potential’ and make some money on it. Always a greater sucker....
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Tuesday, October 7, 2014

7th International Conference on PV Hybrids and Mini Grids Conference Germany April 2014

 


Next conference on PV-hybrid systems and mini-grids will take part in Bad Hersfeld (Germany)
 
This conference, held every two years, is a unique opportunity for end-users, industry, experts and scientists to meet and discuss on latest developments, share experiences on worldwide installations and case studies and learn together on the state of the art of the technology and business models.
 


 
 
Topics of the Conference 2014 will cover:
 
1. Political, economic and regulatory frameworks

2. Business models


3. System components

- Storage technologies
- Power electronics
- Power generation

4. System technology
- PV-hybrid systems with any energy source
- Simulation and sizing
- Standardization

 
5. Energy management and grid control

- Information and communication technologies (ICT)
- Energy management strategies
- Metering and grid / load control

 
6. User interaction

- Training programmes
- Social and behavioural aspects


7. Field experience and lessons learnt
- Operation and maintenance
- Socio economics
- Sustainability

 
Call for papers on the above topics has been just issued. Deadline for submissions of abstracts is October 21st, 2013.
 
For further information, please visit:

http://www.otti.eu/pdf/PV-Hybrids_Mini-Grids_cfpipv4314.pdf
 
Looking forward to meeting to in Germany.
 
Best wishes,

Emilio    

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